Long‐Term Trends of Multiple Drought Types and Their Characteristics From ERA5 Since 1940 in the Yangtze River Basin

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Authors: Caiyuan Wang, Peng Yang, Jun Xia, Heqing Huang, Ping Yao, Lu Chen, Kaiya Sun, Yanchao ZHU, Xixi Lu
Cited by: 0
References: 51

Abstract

ABSTRACT In the context of global warming, comprehending the long‐term trends of multiple drought types and their characteristics is crucial for mitigating and adapting to drought risks. However, studies on long‐term trends rarely incorporate linear and non‐linear features, a gap that requires more attention. Therefore, this study aimed to address this gap by exploring the linear and non‐linear trends of multiple drought types (i.e., meteorological, agricultural and hydrological drought) and their characteristics (i.e., duration, frequency, intensity and severity) from 1940 to 2023 in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB). The main conclusions were as follows: (1) agricultural drought was most likely to occur, followed by meteorological and hydrological droughts among three droughts in the YRB, especially in Wujiang River Basin and Yibin‐Yichang Reach. Meteorological drought showed the highest drought frequency (DF) and intensity (DI), and hydrological drought showed the highest duration (DD) and severity (DS) and (2) meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts were projected to intensify in 56.94%, 74.62% and 73.31% of the YRB, respectively. The trends exhibited a decrease in meteorological DD and DS, and an increase in agricultural DF and the hydrological drought characteristics in most of the YRB and (3) drought indices and their characteristics exhibited a negative correlation, while a positive correlation among the drought indices or characteristics (with a maximum kappa value of 0.85). This study provides a refined understanding of drought evolution and critical information for region‐specific water resources management and climate adaptation strategies.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Hydrology and Drought Analysis Climate variability and models Climate change impacts on agriculture

Publication details

Journal / source
International Journal of Climatology
Volume
46
Issue
5
Publication date
9 February 2026
Language
EN