How to Best Measure Disease Progression in Adult Spinal Muscular Atrophy Patients: A Clinical and Neurophysiological Study

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Natural history data for adult patients with spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) remain scarce, which is particularly relevant in the current therapeutic era. This study aimed to identify the most sensitive clinical, patient-reported, and neurophysiological measures to detect short-term disease progression in untreated adult SMA patients. METHODS: This prospective, one-year longitudinal study included 21 genetically confirmed adult patients with SMA types 2B and 3. Clinician-reported outcomes (CROs) included the Motor Function Measure (MFM), Hammersmith Functional Motor Scale Expanded (HFMSE), and Revised Upper Limb Module (RULM). Additionally, patient-reported outcomes (PROs) were assessed using the Modified Fatigue Impact Scale (MFIS). Neurophysiological evaluations included compound muscle action potential (CMAP) amplitude and motor unit number index (MUNIX) recorded from the ulnar nerve. Sensitivity to change was determined using standardized response means (SRMs), and associations between clinical and neurophysiological data were analyzed via Spearman correlation. RESULTS: The majority of participants were non-ambulatory (16/21). The MFM total score was the only outcome to show a statistically significant decline over 12 months (p = 0.02), with the highest SRM (-0.55), indicating superior sensitivity. MFM also demonstrated the strongest correlations with CMAP amplitude (ρ = 0.90) and MUNIX (ρ = 0.75), compared to other CROs. No significant longitudinal changes were observed in RULM, HFMSE, MFIS, CMAP, or MUNIX. DISCUSSION: Among evaluated outcome measures, the MFM was the most sensitive to short-term progression and most closely aligned with neurophysiological markers. These findings support the use of MFM as a primary outcome in clinical trials involving adult SMA patients.