Stochastic Gates for Covariate Selection in Population Pharmacokinetics Modeling

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Authors: Marija Kekic, Oleg Stepanov, Wenjuan Wang, Sam Richardson, Damilola Olabode, Carlos Serra Traynor, Richard Dearden, Diansong Zhou, Weifeng Tang, Megan A. Gibbs, Andrzej Nowojewski
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References: 21

Abstract

Covariate selection in population pharmacokinetics modeling is essential for understanding interindividual variability in drug response and optimizing dosing. Traditional stepwise covariate modeling is often time-consuming, compared to the new machine learning alternatives. This study investigates the use of neural networks with stochastic gates for automated covariate selection, aiming to efficiently identify relevant covariates while penalizing excessive covariate inclusion. On various synthetic datasets, the approach demonstrated robustness in detecting important covariates, overcoming challenges such as high correlations, low covariate frequencies, high interindividual variability, and complex covariate dependencies. In real clinical data from a monalizumab study, the method successfully identified covariates that matched those found by experts. However, for tixagevimab/cilgavimab, it identified a superset of covariates, indicating a potential need for further pruning. This machine learning-based method enhances the covariate preselection process in population pharmacokinetics model development, offering significant time savings and improving efficiency even under challenging scenarios.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Pharmaceutical studies and practices Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials Pharmacogenetics and Drug Metabolism

Publication details

Journal / source
CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology
Volume
15
Issue
2
Pages
e70147–e70147
Publication date
1 February 2026
Language
EN