Forecasting Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics in the Age of AI and Machine Learning

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Authors: Oleksandr Mykhailovych Kamyshnyi, Iryna Halabitska, Valentyn Oksenych, Iryna Kamyshna, Pavlo Petakh, Denis E. Kainov
Cited by: 2
References: 81

Abstract

Influenza's rapid evolution, driven by its segmented RNA genome, high mutation rate, and extensive animal reservoirs, underpins its capacity to cause recurring epidemics and unpredictable pandemics. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are transforming influenza forecasting by enabling the prediction of viral evolution and the optimisation of public health preparedness. This review synthesises insights from historical data (1890-2025) and contemporary research to examine the evolving role of AI in influenza prediction. It highlights major developments including transformer-based models for viral evolution, real-time integration of mobility and environmental data, hybrid quantum, which are classical algorithms, and multimodal data fusion frameworks, it also consideres critical risk modifiers such as meteorological variation, armed conflict, and host genetics. Importantly, the review distinguishes between retrospective, proof-of-concept analyses and prospective, real-time forecasting applications, clarifying their respective contributions to operational public health preparedness and informed decision-making.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Data-Driven Disease Surveillance COVID-19 epidemiological studies Zoonotic diseases and public health

Publication details

Journal / source
Reviews in Medical Virology
Publisher
Wiley
Volume
36
Issue
1
Pages
e70107–e70107
Publication date
1 January 2026
Language
EN