R22—Probabilistic Tsunami Forecasting for Tsunami Warning

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Authors: Stefano Lorito, Jacopo Selva
Cited by: 0
References: 10

Abstract

Abstract This recipe illustrates the Probabilistic Tsunami Forecasting (PTF), an application of the ingredients more commonly used for long-term PTHA to the case of tsunami warning. This PTF recipe regards tsunamis generated by earthquake sources, which are characterised through both fault and earthquake catalogues. Source probabilities are finally combined with the output of numerical tsunami simulations. PTF output is the probability distribution of tsunami intensity at given forecast points.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Earthquake and Tsunami Effects earthquake and tectonic studies Seismology and Earthquake Studies

Publication details

Journal / source
Mathematics of planet earth
Pages
565–573
Publication date
1 January 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Book chapter