Robust chance-constrained optimization with discrete distributions

Abstract Typically, probability distributions that generate uncertain parameters cannot be measured exactly in practice. As a remedy, distributional robustness determines optimized decisions that are protected in a robust fashion against all probability distributions in some appropriately chosen ambiguity set. In this work, we consider robust joint chance-constrained optimization problems and focus on discrete probability distributions. Many methods for this kind of problems study convex or even linear constraint functions. In contrast, we introduce a practically efficient scenario-based bundle method without convexity assumptions on the constraint functions. We start by deriving an approximation problem to the original robust chance-constrained version by using smoothing and penalization techniques that build on our former work on chance-constrained optimization. Our convergence results with respect to the smoothing approximation and well-known results for penalty approximations suggest replacing the original problem with the approximation problem for large smoothing and penalty parameters. Our scenario-based bundle method starts by solving the approximation problem with a bundle method, and then uses the bundle solution to decide which scenarios to include in a scenario-expanded formulation. This formulation is a standard nonlinear optimization problem. Our approach is guaranteed to find feasible solutions. Furthermore, in the numerical experiments on real-world gas transport problems with uncertain demands, we mostly find globally optimal solutions. Comparing these results to the classical robust reformulations for ambiguity sets consisting of confidence intervals and Wasserstein balls, we observe that the scenario-based bundle method typically outperforms solving the classical reformulation directly.