Accurate, fair, and generalisable scaling of injury severity score-based AI with demographics in terms of mortality in patients with trauma: multi-centre, multi-national retrospective cohort study
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Accurate and equitable prediction of trauma-related in-hospital mortality is critical for guiding clinical decisions and optimising trauma care resources. Traditional severity scoring systems like the Injury Severity Score (ISS) do not account for demographic factors, potentially limiting their fairness and generalisability across diverse populations. METHODS: We developed and externally validated an artificial intelligence (AI) model based on ISS and integrated demographic features (age and sex) to predict in-hospital mortality after trauma. Data from the Korean Trauma Data Bank were used for model development and internal validation, comprising 121,418 patients with trauma aged ≥15 years treated at 19 trauma centres in South Korea (2017-2022). External validation was performed on an independent cohort of 7458 patients from five trauma centres (four in South Korea and one in Australia, 2022-2024). The primary outcome was trauma-related in-hospital mortality. Predictive performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and balanced accuracy. Fairness was evaluated by comparing AUROC differences across age (
Fields of Study & Subjects
Trauma and Emergency Care Studies
Machine Learning in Healthcare
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Publication details
- Journal / source
- EBioMedicine
- Volume
- 126
- Pages
- 106206–106206
- Publication date
- 13 March 2026
- Language
- EN