LOTL-hunter: Detecting multi-stage living-off-the-land attacks in cyber-physical systems using decision fusion techniques with digital twins
Abstract
• Digital Twin-based testbed enables safe and repeatable cyber-physical threat simulation. • Multimodal anomaly fusion improves detection of stealthy, multi-stage APT attacks • Confidence-aware decision logic resolves missing data and prediction conflicts • Per-minute aggregation and alignment of anomalies support IT/OT threat hunting • Cyber-physical threat summary integrates IT/OT anomalies for explainability The integration of smart sensors and actuators in industrial environments has expanded the cyber-physical attack surface, making it increasingly difficult to distinguish anomalies caused by cyberattacks from those due to mechanical or electrical faults. This challenge is exacerbated by stealthy, multi-stage attacks leveraging Living off the Land (LOTL) techniques, which often evade conventional anomaly detection or intrusion detection systems (IDS). This study presents a Digital Twin-based testbed for safe, repeatable simulation of multi-stage cyber-physical attacks targeting Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) and Industrial Control Systems (ICS). We propose a two-level decision fusion method that aggregates and aligns anomalies across network, process, and host domains in synchronized 1-minute intervals. The first-level fusion improves OT-layer detection by applying confidence-aware decision logic to outputs combined from (a) a supervised deep learning model (LSTM-FCN) for process anomalies, (b) an unsupervised model (Isolation Forest) for OPC UA network anomalies, and (c) process alarm signals. The second-level fusion integrates these results with host-based anomalies, computed through point-based scoring of Wazuh alerts, to provide comprehensive IT/OT situational awareness. Experimental results demonstrate improved detection of stealthy, multi-stage APT attack behaviours. Additionally, Large Language Models (LLM) provide summarization of the integrated IT/OT anomaly logs into human-readable insights, enhancing interpretability and supporting cyber threat hunting.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
Adversarial Robustness in Machine Learning
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Future Generation Computer Systems
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Volume
- 180
- Pages
- 108382–108382
- Publication date
- 21 January 2026
- Language
- EN