Applying demographic and epidemiological models in challenging situations: Grappling with a small sample size and complex sociopolitical contexts among the ancient Maya at Lower Dover

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Authors: Saige Kelmelis, Kira Wilde, John P. Walden, Kirsten Green Mink, Kasey Corey, Victoria S. R. Izzo, Carolyn Freiwald, Claire E. Ebert, April Martinez, Hannah Zanotto, Julie A. Hoggarth, Rafael A. Guerra
+3 more M. Kathryn Brown, Christina Warinner, Jaime J. Awe
Cited by: 0
References: 98

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate the utility of applying demographic and epidemiological models to assess the potential effects of sociopolitical status and childhood stress on survivorship, mortality, and morbidity to shed new light on life during the Maya Classic period. MATERIALS: Elite and commoner burials (n = 63) from the Lower Dover polity, Belize dating to the Early (CE 250/300-600) and Late/Terminal Classic (CE 600-900/1000) periods were analyzed for lesions associated with developmental stress. METHODS: Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression hazards analyses were applied to assess survivorship and mortality trends across ages, sociopolitical statuses, and for individuals displaying macroscopic indicators of cribra orbitalia and linear enamel hypoplasia. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression showed that there are no significant differences in mortality and morbidity between sociopolitical status groups when nonadults (

Fields of Study & Subjects

Paleopathology and ancient diseases Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies Archaeology and ancient environmental studies

Publication details

Journal / source
International Journal of Paleopathology
Volume
52
Pages
87–101
Publication date
18 January 2026
Language
EN