Applying demographic and epidemiological models in challenging situations: Grappling with a small sample size and complex sociopolitical contexts among the ancient Maya at Lower Dover
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate the utility of applying demographic and epidemiological models to assess the potential effects of sociopolitical status and childhood stress on survivorship, mortality, and morbidity to shed new light on life during the Maya Classic period. MATERIALS: Elite and commoner burials (n = 63) from the Lower Dover polity, Belize dating to the Early (CE 250/300-600) and Late/Terminal Classic (CE 600-900/1000) periods were analyzed for lesions associated with developmental stress. METHODS: Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression hazards analyses were applied to assess survivorship and mortality trends across ages, sociopolitical statuses, and for individuals displaying macroscopic indicators of cribra orbitalia and linear enamel hypoplasia. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression showed that there are no significant differences in mortality and morbidity between sociopolitical status groups when nonadults (
Fields of Study & Subjects
Paleopathology and ancient diseases
Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies
Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
Publication details
- Journal / source
- International Journal of Paleopathology
- Volume
- 52
- Pages
- 87–101
- Publication date
- 18 January 2026
- Language
- EN