Floods and firms: Vulnerabilities and resilience to natural disasters in Europe

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Authors: Serena Fatica, Gabor Katay, Michela Rancan
Cited by: 76
References: 73

Abstract

Combining a rich database on natural hazards, granular flood hazard maps and detailed information on firm geolocalization, we study the dynamic effects of floods on European manufacturing firms over the period 2007-2018. We find that water damages significantly and persistently worsen firms’ performance, and may endanger their survival. An average flood deteriorates total assets by about 2% in the year after the event, and up to 5% seven years out. Repeated flooding has milder impacts, suggesting that adaptation measures are adopted in flood-prone areas. We show how reallocation of economic activity within flooded regions can reconcile our results with the “creative destruction” hypothesis for natural disasters.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Disaster Management and Resilience

Publication details

Journal / source
Journal of Financial Stability
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Volume
85
Pages
101566–101566
Publication date
25 June 2026
Language
EN