Small-time central limit theorems for stochastic Volterra integral equations and their Markovian lifts
Abstract
We study small-time central limit theorems for stochastic Volterra integral equations with Hölder continuous coefficients and general locally square integrable Volterra kernels. We prove the convergence of the finite-dimensional distributions, a functional CLT, and limit theorems for smooth transformations of the process, which covers a large class of Volterra kernels that includes rough models based on Riemann-Liouville kernels with short- and long-range dependencies. To illustrate our results, we derive asymptotic pricing formulae for digital calls on the realized variance in three different regimes. The latter provides a robust and model-independent pricing method for small maturities in rough volatility models. Finally, for the case of completely monotone kernels, we introduce a flexible framework of Hilbert space-valued Markovian lifts and derive analogous limit theorems for such lifts.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
Advanced Thermodynamics and Statistical Mechanics
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Stochastic Processes and their Applications
- Volume
- 195
- Pages
- 104892–104892
- Publication date
- 23 January 2026
- Language
- EN