On a variation of gambler’s ruin problem

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Authors: Zhiyi Chi, Vladimir Pozdnyakov
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Assume that letters (from a finite alphabet) in a text form a Markov chain. We track two distinct words, U and D . A gambler gains 1 point for each occurrence of U (including overlapping occurrences) and loses 1 point for each occurrence of D (also including overlapping occurrences). We determine the probability of gaining A points before losing B points, where A and B are integers. Additionally, we find the expected waiting time until one of the two events – gaining A points or losing B points – occurs.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Sports Analytics and Performance Probability and Statistical Research

Publication details

Journal / source
Statistics & Probability Letters
Volume
236
Pages
110783–110783
Publication date
12 April 2026
Language
EN