Advancing species-based predictions of Nature’s contributions to people

Nature's contributions to people (NCP) are essential for human wellbeing, yet most assessments still rely on land-cover indicators that overlook how biodiversity supports these contributions. We propose that species-level data, widely used in biodiversity mapping, can better inform direct NCP prediction through the development of species' contributions to people (SCP). Linking species to NCP through relational SCP databases and combining these with species distribution models and global change scenarios can yield spatial NCP predictions that can be better rooted in species' ecological characteristics. This approach fosters integrated biodiversity-NCP planning and supports conservation goals. We outline key methodological steps, identify research needs, and encourage collective progress to advance SCP knowledge for a transformative shift in how we assess and manage NCP.