Determinants of injury severity in traffic accidents. Evidence from a developing country

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Authors: Josselin Murillo, Juan Pablo Díaz-Sánchez
Cited by: 2
References: 49

Abstract

This research article analyzes the impact of various factors, such as driver characteristics, environmental factors, vehicle characteristics, and accident attributes, on the severity of physical injuries in traffic accidents occurring in Ecuador, a country where young people aged 18–29, who are of working age, have traffic accidents as the second leading cause of death. This study utilizes data from the National Traffic Accident Reports of the National Transit Agency (ANT) for the period 2021–2022. By employing a generalized ordered logit model, which more accurately captures ordinal response data, the results indicate that variables such as gender, age, day of the week, and vehicle type significantly affect the severity of injuries sustained by drivers involved in traffic accidents. From a public policy perspective, our findings provide insights into which aspects and characteristics should be targeted to reduce the severity of traffic accidents.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Traffic and Road Safety Injury Epidemiology and Prevention Urban Transport and Accessibility

Publication details

Journal / source
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Volume
36
Pages
101843–101843
Publication date
8 January 2026
Language
EN