The Upgrader’s Mindset
Abstract
In Chapter 10, we conclude with an overview of the broader themes seen throughout this work, showcasing the tell-tale signs of innovation failure. These patterns go to the core of our work, lessons learned from past innovations that can help us to avoid repeating similar mistakes in the future. No one, not even the cagiest upgrader, is going to be able to predict every new technology that will succeed or flop. But with this mindset, you can avoid some of the more obvious traps that investors, politicians, and the public continue to fall for, while valuing the evidence-based alternatives we so often neglect.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
Innovation
Technology
and Society
Technology Assessment and Management
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Cambridge University Press eBooks
- Pages
- 144–154
- Publication date
- 5 February 2026
- Document type
- Book chapter