Devaluation, Exports, and Recovery from the Great Depression

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Authors: Jason Lennard, Meredith M. Paker
Cited by: 0
References: 35

Abstract

This paper evaluates how a major policy shift—the suspension of the gold standard in September 1931—affected employment outcomes in interwar Britain. We use a new high-frequency industry-level dataset and difference-in-differences techniques to isolate the impact of devaluation on exporters. At the micro level, the break from gold reduced the unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points for export-intensive industries relative to non-export industries. At the aggregate level, this effect stimulated the labor market, the fiscal outlook, and economic growth. Devaluation was therefore an important initial spark of recovery from the depths of the Great Depression.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Historical Economic and Social Studies Political and Economic history of UK and US Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

Publication details

Journal / source
The Journal of Economic History
Volume
86
Issue
1
Pages
258–286
Publication date
16 January 2026
Language
EN