Recent History of Surface Ocean Acidification Extremes That Compound Marine Heatwaves

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Authors: Luke Gregor, Nicolas Gruber
Cited by: 0
References: 49

Abstract

Abstract Compound extremes are of concern for ocean health, such as when ocean acidification extremes (OAX) and marine heatwaves (MHW) co‐occur. These compound events (OAXMHW) may amplify stress beyond the impact of each driver alone, yet their historical distribution remains poorly quantified. We used an observation‐based product (OceanSODA‐ETHZ) to investigate surface ocean OAXMHW from 1982 to 2024. OAX and MHW are defined when detrended surface hydrogen ion concentration and sea surface temperature exceed their 95th percentiles. Events show distinct spatial and temporal patterns: they occur roughly four times more often than by chance in the low‐ to mid‐latitudes, but are rare in the eastern tropical Pacific and the high latitudes. They occur primarily in summer and show strong variability associated with the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation. Most events are small ( ) and brief (1 month), but several are exceptional, including: the Blob (2015) in the northeastern Pacific ( ), the North Atlantic marine heatwave lasting nearly a year (2023–2024), and the most intense event off the Western Australian coast (2011). Mechanistically, OAXMHW occur when warming‐induced increases in [H + ] are not offset by a reduction in dissolved inorganic carbon that typically accompanies MHW. This is typical of the permanently stratified low‐to‐mid latitude oceans, where the seasonal cycle of [H + ] is controlled by temperature. By characterizing past compound extremes and improving our understanding of individual events, we highlight conditions that may lead to future ecosystems being at risk.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses Global Energy and Sustainability Research Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics

Publication details

Journal / source
AGU Advances
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Volume
7
Issue
5
Publication date
1 August 2026
Language
EN