Mapping Philadelphia's Floodscape: A 35‐Year Analysis of Coastal Urban Flood Hazards and Drivers
Abstract
Abstract Low‐lying coastal urban cities face significant flooding risks from river flooding (fluvial), storm surges and high tides (coastal), and intense local rainfall (pluvial). Accurately assessing these hazards requires modeling frameworks capable of capturing both the individual and combined effects of multiple flood drivers, as well as the diversity of flood scenarios that can arise from their interactions. In this study, we implemented a physics‐based, high‐resolution modeling approach to assess flood hazards in Philadelphia, PA, a coastal city exemplifying multi‐driver flood risks over multiple decades (1985–2019), by simulating a wide range of flood events at a 10‐m resolution. By integrating watershed, coastal, and urban flood models, we explicitly resolved the interaction between fluvial, pluvial, and coastal processes across the city. From these simulations, we identified flood hazard hotspots and systematically attributed the primary drivers of flooding for each event. The results suggested that 44% of Philadelphia's flood events were compound floods, primarily driven by fluvial‐surge and fluvial‐pluvial combinations. Notably, 77% of these events involved fluvial flooding, either as a single flood driver or in combination with other drivers, underscoring the dominant role of riverine processes in the city's flood hazard. Overall, this study demonstrates the value of a comprehensive, process‐based approach for urban flood hazard assessment and highlights the importance of considering the full spectrum of flood scenarios to inform targeted and adaptive flood management strategies in coastal cities.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Coastal and Marine Dynamics
Urban Stormwater Management Solutions
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Earth s Future
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 2
- Publication date
- 1 February 2026
- Language
- EN