Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly
Abstract
Abstract Recent record‐hot years have caused discussion over whether global warming has accelerated. Previous analysis found acceleration (i.e., increase in warming rate) has not yet reached a 95% confidence level, given natural temperature variability. We remove the estimated influence of three main natural variability factors: El Niño, volcanism, and solar variation. The resulting adjusted and thus less “noisy” data show that there has been acceleration with over 98% confidence, with faster warming over the last 10+ years than during any previous decade.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
Climate variability and models
Science and Climate Studies
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Volume
- 53
- Issue
- 5
- Publication date
- 6 March 2026
- Language
- EN