Change in Tropical Cyclone Efficiency Under Different ENSO Conditions in the Western North Pacific Ocean

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Authors: Yi‐Chun Liao, I.‐I. Lin, Jin‐Yi Yu, Jia‐Yuh Yu, Chun‐Chi Lien, Jui‐Yu Chan
Cited by: 0
References: 34

Abstract

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) can be considered as Carnot heat engines, where thermodynamic efficiency depends on the sea surface temperature (SST) and TC outflow temperature ( T o ) in the upper atmosphere. This study investigates how TC efficiency in the western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean varies under different El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions: the Eastern Pacific (EP), the Central Pacific (CP), and the Mixed El Niño types, as well as La Niña. We also explore how these changes affect a TC's theoretical upper bound (potential intensity (PI)). Using a reanalysis data set from 1979 to 2024, we find that TC efficiency decreases during La Niña, due to warmer T o , and increases during CP El Niño, where upper‐level cooling dominates. EP and Mixed El Niño show more heterogeneous responses. These efficiency changes contribute to PI variability from −38 to +27%, depending on ENSO type and region.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research Climate variability and models Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

Publication details

Journal / source
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
53
Issue
2
Publication date
14 January 2026
Language
EN