Observations of Offshore Low‐Level Jets Off the U.S. East Coast Reveal Systematic Biases in ERA5 and HRRR

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Authors: Nicola Bodini, Stefano Letizia, Bianca Adler, David D. Turner, Raghavendra Krishnamurthy, A. Scholbrock, D. Jager, E. Cinquino, Anthony Kirincich
Cited by: 1
References: 32

Abstract

Abstract Low‐level jets (LLJs)—wind speed maxima typically occurring a few hundred meters above the surface—are common off the U.S. East Coast and influence many atmospheric processes with societal importance, including cloud formation, aviation safety, and search‐and‐rescue. However, their vertical structure and frequency remain poorly quantified due to limited offshore observations. This study presents new scanning Doppler LiDAR and infrared spectroradiometer data from the 2024 summer deployment of an offshore barge during the Wind Forecast Improvement Project 3. These coupled wind and temperature profiles provide unprecedented resolution to assess LLJ behavior and model performance. LLJs occurred in over 21% of observed profiles, with a weak diurnal preference for nighttime and early morning hours and maximum winds typically near 300 m. Both ERA5 and High‐Resolution Rapid Refresh analysis underestimate jet wind speeds and misrepresent the boundary layer thermal structure. These results highlight persistent model biases and the critical need for high‐resolution offshore observations.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research Wind and Air Flow Studies

Publication details

Journal / source
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Volume
53
Issue
13
Publication date
6 July 2026
Language
EN