Apparent Global Increase in Cloud Droplet Number Concentration After 2022 Attributed to MODIS Orbital Drift

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Authors: Jihu Liu, Yannian Zhu, Daniel Rosenfeld, Yang Cao, Yichuan Wang, Minghuai Wang
Cited by: 1
References: 29

Abstract

Abstract A long‐term, consistent satellite record of cloud droplet number concentration ( N d ) is essential for understanding aerosol‐cloud interactions and their climate effects. However, the Aqua MODIS‐retrieved N d exhibits an unexpected and substantial increase over the near‐global oceans after 2022, contradicting the expected decline from continued emission reduction efforts. Here we demonstrate that this surge is not physical but largely an artifact of sensor orbital drift, which alters viewing geometry and solar illumination. By leveraging concurrent Suomi‐NPP VIIRS observations unaffected by drift, we developed an empirical correction that removes this artificial signal and quantified global mean N d artificial biases of +2.4 cm −3 in 2023 and +5.0 cm −3 in 2024. These biases substantially distort the N d trends, reversing the previously decreasing global N d trend into an apparent strong rise after 2022. These findings highlight the critical need to correct for such artifacts when constructing satellite‐based climate data records.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Atmospheric aerosols and clouds Atmospheric Ozone and Climate Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols

Publication details

Journal / source
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Volume
53
Issue
3
Publication date
5 February 2026
Language
EN