Climatology and Trends in Spatial Scales of Extreme Precipitation Over Land in the Contiguous US

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Authors: Trinish Chatterjee, Danielle Touma, Adam H. Sobel, Radley Horton
Cited by: 1
References: 32

Abstract

Abstract Extreme precipitation (EP) poses a severe risk under a changing climate. Here we use daily gridded precipitation data (1980–2024) and a connected‐component labeling algorithm to characterize the climatology and regional trends of daily EP spatial scale over land in the contiguous United States (US). EP event sizes follow a logarithmic distribution; thus, the largest‐area EP events disproportionately drive total yearly EP area. These largest‐area events exhibit different seasonality and have higher average intensities than smaller events. We find a widespread decline in small‐area EP events and overall days with EP, concentrating EP into fewer days per year but with larger areas on those days. In the eastern US, we find a rising frequency of large‐area events, driving significant growth in yearly EP area. These findings highlight the importance of spatially informed analyses in understanding the changing nature of EP for better climate risk assessments, adaptation planning, and economic loss projections.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Climate variability and models Precipitation Measurement and Analysis Cryospheric studies and observations

Publication details

Journal / source
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Volume
53
Issue
8
Publication date
25 April 2026
Language
EN