Foundation‐Scale Satellite Embeddings Reframe Hydrological Generalization as a Representation Problem

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Authors: Zhigang Ou, Yi Zheng
Cited by: 1
References: 16

Abstract

Abstract A persistent challenge in hydrological modeling is reliably transferring predictive skill across time and among basins that appear distinct based on conventional static attributes. Here we address this challenge by leveraging Google's newly released data set generated from the AlphaEarth Foundations model, providing 64‐dimensional satellite embeddings (SE) that encode dynamic surface characteristics. Evaluated over 455 Australian catchments (2017–2022), SE‐enhanced models consistently outperform static‐attribute baselines. Temporal gains are most pronounced in regions under intense human disturbance, where median relative error reduction (RER) reaches 11.5%, reflecting reduced mismatch between static representations and evolving land‐surface states. Overcoming the fragmentation caused by discrete static attributes, SE reshapes the feature space into a continuous, globally connected representation, yielding a median RER of 32.1% for the most isolated basins. These results indicate that foundation‐scale embeddings fundamentally shift hydrological generalization from parameter transfer toward representation learning, offering a new pathway for robust prediction under nonstationary conditions.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies Flood Risk Assessment and Management Remote Sensing in Agriculture

Publication details

Journal / source
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Volume
53
Issue
7
Publication date
3 April 2026
Language
EN