Hydroxyl Interannual Variability Impacts Estimation of Regional Methane Emissions

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Authors: Dmitry Belikov, Prabir K. Patra, Naoko Saitoh
Cited by: 2
References: 32

Abstract

Abstract Methane is a major greenhouse gas in the Earth's atmosphere, but understanding of its sources and removal budget remains incomplete. Using MIROC4‐ACTM inverse model simulations, we examine the impact of hydroxyl (OH) variation on global and regional CH 4 budgets from 2001 to 2019. Our results show CH 4 emissions inferred from climatological (OH CLM ) and interannually varying (OH IAV ) OH fields align well for global emission (∼564 Tg‐CH 4 yr −1 ) but show clear regional differences. East Asia experiences the strongest OH‐related enhancement (∼+10 Tg‐CH 4 yr −1 , or ∼20% higher compared with the OH CLM scenario), with notable effects in Boreal North America (+16.2%), Europe (−16.4%), North Africa (−8.6%), and Central Africa (−11.8%). The OH IAV influence is strongest from 2001 to 2012, with a cumulative CH 4 emission difference of −72.0 ± 2.0 Tg‐CH 4 between OH CLM and OH IAV inversions. This study reiterates the need for improved estimation OH IAV using models and proxy observations.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena

Publication details

Journal / source
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Volume
131
Issue
4
Publication date
16 February 2026
Language
EN