Global risk pooling mitigates financial risk from drought in hydropower-dependent countries

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Authors: Rosa Isabella Cuppari, Tamlin M. Pavelsky, Gregory W. Characklis
Cited by: 2
References: 52

Abstract

More than 50 countries rely on hydropower for over 25% of their electricity generation, making them vulnerable to drought and resulting revenue losses. Governments can offset financial losses for publicly-owned hydropower generators, but this can create fiscal pressures and lead to negative consequences, such as lower bond ratings. Index-based financial instruments, used to manage weather-related risk, offer an alternative, though data collection and index design are challenging. Using remotely sensed hydrometeorological data, we develop index insurance contracts to manage drought-related financial risk for hydropower-dependent countries. Low correlations in drought across these countries allow cost reductions when risks are pooled. Pooling the contracts yields average savings of 54% compared to individual risk management via reserves. These findings indicate that pooled index insurance can strengthen financial resilience in countries dependent on hydropower and support governments in mitigating drought-related economic risks.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Hydrology and Drought Analysis Agricultural risk and resilience Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Publication details

Journal / source
Nature Communications
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Volume
17
Issue
1
Pages
723–723
Publication date
16 January 2026
Language
EN