Anthropogenic climate change drives rising global heat stress and its spatial inequality

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Authors: Jian Peng, Qi Wang, Zhiwei Yang, Jianquan Dong, Xiaoyu Yu, Jonathan Corcoran
Cited by: 9
References: 45

Abstract

Global heat stress is intensifying under climate change, yet the relative roles of natural and anthropogenic forcing remain insufficiently quantified. Here, we show that global heat stress trend, assessed with the Universal Thermal Climate Index, increases markedly over the past four decades, with 52% of land area experiencing rises in mean heat stress intensity and 67% showing increases in extreme heat stress days. We find that anthropogenic climate change overwhelmingly dominates these trends, with the land area it dominates nearly twice as large as that dominated by natural climate change. Anthropogenic climate change also results in pronounced spatial inequality in heat stress trends across different economies, with low-income economies experiencing a growth rate two to three times higher than that of high-income economies. These findings demonstrate that human-induced climate change is amplifying global heat stress while deepening existing spatial inequalities, underscoring the urgency of equitable climate change adaptation. Global heat stress has increased, with 52% of land area showing rising mean intensity and 67% showing more extreme heat stress days. Anthropogenic climate change dominates these trends and widens inequalities across economies.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Climate Change and Health Impacts Climate variability and models Climate change impacts on agriculture

Publication details

Journal / source
Nature Communications
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Volume
17
Issue
1
Publication date
3 February 2026
Language
EN