Halving global ammonia emissions with cost-effective measures

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Authors: Xiuming Zhang, Yi Sun, Yujing Gao, Chen Wang, Xia Liang, Shu Kee Lam, Shaohui Zhang, Wilfried Winiwarter, Hans J. M. van Grinsven, Mark A. Sutton, Deli CHEN, Baojing Gu
Cited by: 4
References: 36

Abstract

Excess ammonia (NH3) emissions from human activities pose severe threats to global ecosystems and human health. Although urgent control of NH3 emissions is needed, a comprehensive quantification of mitigation strategies and their cost-effectiveness is lacking on a global scale. Here we employ a multi-model framework to evaluate 32 mitigation measures across 7 sectors in 185 countries. Our analysis reveals that strategic implementation of technological and non-technological (policy and behavioural) measures could reduce global NH3 emissions by up to 60% at an average cost of US$7.4 per kilogram of NH3. The estimated implementation cost of US$274 ± 116 billion is far outweighed by the resulting environmental, health and resource benefits, which we indicatively estimate at US$722 ± 302 billion. Priority action in China and India could yield the largest net gains, whereas Sub-Saharan Africa faces limited cost-effectiveness owing to structural and economic barriers. Future scenarios indicate that ambitious implementation pathways could halve NH3 emissions by 2050, whereas weak climate action and inadequate nitrogen regulations would drive continued emission growth, leading to substantial environmental deterioration. These findings highlight both the feasibility and urgency of integrating NH3 control into multi-objective policies for food security, air quality and sustainable development. Man-made ammonia emissions have harmful effects on human health and ecosystems, yet global mitigation strategies remain underexploited. A study now finds that emissions could be halved cost-effectively by 2050 through targeted and prioritized measures, with benefits far outweighing costs.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Odor and Emission Control Technologies Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols Ammonia Synthesis and Nitrogen Reduction

Publication details

Journal / source
Nature Sustainability
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Volume
9
Issue
2
Pages
247–259
Publication date
2 January 2026
Language
EN