Exposed yet unmapped: evidence of differential flood exposure in deprived urban areas using citizen science

Read full text
Authors: Lorraine Trento Oliveira, Florencio Campomanes, Anne M. Dijkstra, Mariana Belgiu, Prosper Adiku, Nicera Wanjiru, Lizian Onyango, Renaldo Flor, Deyril Ibraimo, Bastian van den Bout, Jaap A. Zevenbergen, Monika Kuffer
Cited by: 0
References: 52

Abstract

Abstract Rapid urbanization in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has intensified flood risks, disproportionately affecting deprived urban areas (DUAs). Yet, these areas remain systematically unmapped in existing assessments, particularly in data-scarce environments. This study offers, for the first time, a comparative assessment of flood exposure across six SSA cities, integrating a lightweight low-cost flood model, global remote sensing datasets and citizen science methods. We find that DUAs are up to 200% more exposed to flooding, with frequent shallow floods (up to 10cm) causing significant, yet often overlooked, impacts. Of these, over 50% concern property damage, disease outbreaks and infrastructure failures. Surprisingly, secondary cities sometimes surpass primaries in absolute exposure. We also highlight the spatial biases from built-up surface datasets, in turn overestimating exposure in peri-urban areas and omitting in dense DUAs. Our findings challenge conventional ways of assessing flood risk and emphasize that local knowledge is indispensable in fostering urban resilience.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Flood Risk Assessment and Management Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies Precipitation Measurement and Analysis

Publication details

Journal / source
npj Urban Sustainability
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Volume
6
Issue
1
Publication date
22 June 2026
Language
EN