Degradation forecasting for accelerated lifetime studies of organic photovoltaics via symbolic regression

Read full text
Authors: Qizhen Song, Vincent Marc Le Corre, Thomas Heumueller, Huotian Zhang, Hua Tang, Zijian Peng, Andreas J. Bornschlegl, Xiaoyan Du, Larry Lüer, Christoph J. Brabec
Cited by: 1
References: 34

Abstract

As the stability of organic solar cells improves, traditional long-duration testing methods cannot provide timely feedback, retarding optimization and hindering commercialization. Therefore, accurate degradation forecasting becomes a critical challenge, as the complex, nonlinear degradation kinetics of OPV devices complicate prediction. Here, we present a machine learning pipeline based on Class Symbolic Regression (CSR) that accurately extrapolates device degradation ~10× beyond the measured window, enabling day-scale stability decisions. Our workflow achieves 3-4% test error in quantitatively forecasting lifetime using the first 20 h for preliminary screening (200 h) and the first 100 h for long-term stability testing (1,000 h). This approach, validated across >40 donor–acceptor systems and >100 processing conditions, demonstrates generalization across key stability metrics. Additionally, the workflow is lightweight, requiring few resources and training, making it suitable for various OPV laboratories, thereby compressing OPV stability-testing protocols from month-scale to days. This work accelerates decision-making, enhances R&D throughput, and advances commercialization in the OPV industry.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Photovoltaic System Optimization Techniques Organic Electronics and Photovoltaics Silicon and Solar Cell Technologies

Publication details

Journal / source
EES solar.
Publisher
Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC)
Volume
2
Issue
4
Pages
973–983
Publication date
1 January 2026
Language
EN