Degradation forecasting for accelerated lifetime studies of organic photovoltaics via symbolic regression
Abstract
As the stability of organic solar cells improves, traditional long-duration testing methods cannot provide timely feedback, retarding optimization and hindering commercialization. Therefore, accurate degradation forecasting becomes a critical challenge, as the complex, nonlinear degradation kinetics of OPV devices complicate prediction. Here, we present a machine learning pipeline based on Class Symbolic Regression (CSR) that accurately extrapolates device degradation ~10× beyond the measured window, enabling day-scale stability decisions. Our workflow achieves 3-4% test error in quantitatively forecasting lifetime using the first 20 h for preliminary screening (200 h) and the first 100 h for long-term stability testing (1,000 h). This approach, validated across >40 donor–acceptor systems and >100 processing conditions, demonstrates generalization across key stability metrics. Additionally, the workflow is lightweight, requiring few resources and training, making it suitable for various OPV laboratories, thereby compressing OPV stability-testing protocols from month-scale to days. This work accelerates decision-making, enhances R&D throughput, and advances commercialization in the OPV industry.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Photovoltaic System Optimization Techniques
Organic Electronics and Photovoltaics
Silicon and Solar Cell Technologies
Publication details
- Journal / source
- EES solar.
- Publisher
- Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC)
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 973–983
- Publication date
- 1 January 2026
- Language
- EN