Systematic Risk Assessment and Quantification for Autonomous Robotic Construction on Mars

This paper investigates the risks associated with autonomous robotic construction on Mars, emphasizing a comprehensive approach to identifying, assessing, and mitigating challenges unique to extreme extraterrestrial environments. Based on a systematic review of literature from 2014 to 2024, the study focuses on five critical risk areas: atmospheric conditions, topography, energy and power requirements, communication systems, and equipment reliability. These categories inform a quantitative risk assessment method that maps risks by likelihood and impact, supporting the prioritization of mitigation strategies. Key hazards, such as dust contamination, thermal inertia, and reduced mobility, are shown to significantly affect equipment performance, energy supply, and communication systems. The study offers practical insights for developing resilient, efficient construction processes suited to Martian conditions, with broader relevance to construction in remote and harsh terrestrial environments. Future work will incorporate expert feedback to refine the proposed frameworks and mitigation strategies.