Analyzing dengue fever with constrained medical resources: A dynamical systems approach
Abstract
Dengue fever, a major mosquito-borne viral disease, poses a significant public health threat, particularly in high-incidence countries like Brazil, where rising cases strain limited medical resources. We analyze the impact of constrained medical resources, specifically hospital bed capacity, on dengue transmission dynamics. A novel compartmental model is developed where the availability of hospital beds (B) is a key parameter governing treatment access. Employing classical linearization theory, we conduct a comprehensive stability analysis of the system equilibrium points. Systematic bifurcation analysis, utilizing center manifold theory and normal form theory, reveals complex dynamical behaviors: backward bifurcation (indicating disease persistence for basic reproduction numbers R0
Fields of Study & Subjects
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science
- Publisher
- AIP Publishing
- Volume
- 36
- Issue
- 2
- Publication date
- 1 February 2026
- Language
- EN