Climate network reveals cross-seasonal teleconnections between heatwaves and cold waves

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Authors: Ping Yu, Jun Meng
Cited by: 1
References: 46

Abstract

Climate change is reshaping the global pattern of extremes, driving more frequent heatwaves, synchronous events, and compound hazards. This complexity renders the analysis and prediction of extreme events-such as heatwaves and cold waves-no longer confined to regional or weather-scale processes, as their interactions may trigger cascading and multiscale impacts. Using a complex network framework applied to global reanalysis data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (1981-2020), we identify robust cross-seasonal teleconnections linking boreal summer heatwaves with winter cold waves, despite their contrasting manifestations. These connections are modulated by large-scale climate modes such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation, suggesting that the underlying dynamics transcend seasonal boundaries. This newly revealed relationship exposes previously unexplored correlations, enhances prospects for seasonal-to-interannual prediction of extremes, and underscores the pivotal role of large-scale climate modes in bridging summer and winter variability across hemispheres.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Climate variability and models Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations Tree-ring climate responses

Publication details

Journal / source
Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science
Publisher
AIP Publishing
Volume
36
Issue
1
Publication date
1 January 2026
Language
EN