Demographics of Health Professionals in the Province of Alicante. Analysis for Human Resource Planning, 2025–2032

Healthcare quality is affected by inefficient resource allocation, including the mismatch between trained professionals and available jobs. This study estimates the need for replacement doctors due to retirement in Alicante from 2025 to 2032. Medical graduates in the Valencian Community increased by 172 between 2015/2016 and 2020/2021, with 75 additional places in a new medical school. Projections indicate a surplus of up to 100 doctors annually. Without creating new specialist positions aligned with population growth, the number of trained doctors will exceed available jobs, risking unemployment and job insecurity in the public healthcare system.