The deterrence-provocation continuum in the context of Russian strategic culture: Hypersensitivity, holism-conspiracism, and sacred great power status
Abstract
Deterrence is effective only insofar as it is not excessive or misdirected and thus perceived as provocative. This article brings together insights from deterrence theory, studies of Russian strategic culture, lexicology, and historical examples revealing what the author terms Russian provocationism. Regarding great power status as a sacred value, leading chekists – the keepers of Russian strategic culture – have a propensity to see provocations everywhere. The author argues that Western deterrence of Russia must be culturally tailored and therefore take into account the Russian historically and culturally conditioned hypersensitivity to provocations, especially against its great power status.
Fields of Study & Subjects
European and Russian Geopolitical Military Strategies
Global Security and Public Health
Security
Politics
and Digital Transformation
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Journal of Strategic Studies
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Volume
- 49
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 587–616
- Publication date
- 7 January 2026
- Language
- EN