Modelling correlates of adolescent and young people viral suppression pathway in Zambia: a Bayesian multi-state approach

Critical Public Health 2026 Open access

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Authors: Isaac Fwemba, Samuel Iddi, Alfred Edwin Yawson, Chris Bambey Guure, Jacques Lukenze Tamuzi, Peter Suwirakwenda Nyasulu, Samuel Bosomprah
DOI: 10.1080/09581596.2025.2602117
Cited by: 0
References: 24

Abstract

This study aimed to look into the correlates of viral suppression in HIV-infected adolescents by utilizing Markov renewal multi-state survival models based on the Bayesian Approach, which use a deterministic posterior approximation. We developed a patient-level viral suppression transition framework to quantify the prognostic factors influencing viral suppression. The results showed that HIV-infected adolescents had higher risk of attaining viral suppression relative to remaining engaged, transfer out, being inactive, and dying among patients with VL < 50 compared to those with

Fields of Study & Subjects

HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions HIV Drug Use Sexual Risk Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health

Publication details

Journal / source
Critical Public Health
Volume
36
Issue
1
Publication date
19 January 2026
Language
EN