Holistic insights into uncertainty-based modeling approaches for open pit mine planning
Abstract
Open pit mine planning is a complex process shaped by multiple stages, ranging from exploration and development to exploitation and reclamation, and influenced by many uncertainties. Geological, price, and operational risks all contribute to deviations between planned and actual production and financial projections. Traditional models often assume fixed inputs, overlooking the inherent variabilities and uncertainties. Consequently, modern methodologies have shifted towards uncertainty-based modelling approaches. This paper reviews and discusses these uncertainty-based modelling approaches in mine planning, presents their advantages and disadvantages, and outlines gaps and opportunities for future work to integrate the uncertainties that are key components of mine planning.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Mining Techniques and Economics
Geomechanics and Mining Engineering
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
Publication details
- Journal / source
- International Journal of Mining Reclamation and Environment
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 639–664
- Publication date
- 30 January 2026
- Language
- EN