Comprehensive assessment of Himalayan glacial lakes concerning their distribution, dynamics, and hazard potential

This study examines the distribution, growth, and GLOF hazard of glacial lakes across major Himalayan river basins. Basin-wise GLOF susceptibility was assessed using glacial lake abundance, spatial distribution, and rates of lake area expansion. The Kosi, Yarlung Zangbo, Manas, and Upper Indus basins were identified as the most susceptible and classified as critical. The highest rates of lake size increase were observed in the Kosi Basin, followed by Yarlung Zangbo, Manas, Karnali, Upper Indus, and Tista, indicating their potential as future GLOF-prone regions. Moreover, a Himalayan-scale GLOF hazard map was generated integrating population, hydropower infrastructure, potential flood volume, roads, settlements, and railways revealing high hazard levels in the Chenab, Jhelum, Teesta, and Beas basins in India; the Koshi, Tama-Koshi, and Dudh-Koshi basins in Nepal; and the Kuri Chu sub-basin of the Manas Basin in Bhutan. These findings highlight priority regions where detailed field investigations and hydrodynamic modelling are essential before further infrastructure development.