The Maki–Thompson model with random awareness

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Authors: Cristian F. Coletti, Denis A. Luiz, Alejandra Rada
Cited by: 0
References: 19

Abstract

Abstract We propose a rumor propagation model which generalizes the k -spreading Maki–Thompson model (Rada et al 2021 SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst. 20 1209–31) by assuming k as being random. In this setting, individuals within a homogeneously mixed population can assume one of infinitely many possible states. To analyze this model, we extend the classical law of large numbers for density-dependent population models in R d (Ethier and Kurtz 2009 Markov Processes: Characterization and Convergence (John Wiley & Sons)) to an infinite–dimensional setting. Specifically, we prove a convergence result for stochastic processes in the space of p -summable real sequences, generalizing the finite–dimensional theory. We derive the asymptotic proportions of individuals in each state at the end of a rumor outbreak. Furthermore, we characterize the maximum proportion of individuals actively spreading the rumor and explore conditions under which the model exhibits waves of rumor propagation.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Complex Network Analysis Techniques Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence COVID-19 epidemiological studies

Publication details

Journal / source
Journal of Statistical Mechanics Theory and Experiment
Publisher
IOP Publishing
Volume
2026
Issue
5
Pages
053402–053402
Publication date
1 May 2026
Language
EN