Law of the large numbers
Abstract
Given a random variable |$X$|, its expected value and variance are given by |$E[X]\,{=} \langle x \rangle \,{=}\, \sum _i P(x_i)x_i$| and |$Var(x) \,{=}\, \sigma^2(x) \,{=}\, E[(x-\langle x \rangle)^2] \,{=}\, \sum_iP(x_i)(x_i-\langle x \rangle )^2$|. Tchebyshev’s lemma states that the probability of the occurrence of |$\vert x\,{-}\,\langle x \rangle \vert \,{\gt}\, t$| is less than or equal to |$\sigma^2(x)/t^2$|. The proof is as follows: and thus it holds: which is the statement of Tchebyshev’s lemma. Let us consider now the law of large numbers. Be and the variables |$X_i$| are mutually independent and all distributed according to the same probability distribution. Let finally, let |$\langle x \rangle$| and |$\sigma^2 (x)$| be finite. Let us notice that, thanks to the independence of the variables, we have that the expected value of |$NY_N$| is equal to |$N \langle x \rangle $|, and its variance is equal to |$N \sigma^2(x)$|. The law of large numbers states that the probability that |$\vert Y_N-\langle x \rangle \vert$| is greater than |$epsilon$| tends to |$0$| when |$N \,{\rightarrow}\, \infty$|. The proof is an immediate consequence of Tchebyshev’s lemma. This tells us that: and, choosing |$t \,{=}\, N \epsilon$|, one has: with the quantity on the right-hand side of Eq. (A.5) that tends to zero when |$N$| tends to |$\infty$|. We have, therefore, proved the law of large numbers.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Probability and Statistical Research
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
Probability and Risk Models
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Oxford University Press eBooks
- Pages
- 283–299
- Publication date
- 26 February 2026
- Language
- EN
- Document type
- Book chapter