Comparing the effects of regulating new genomic techniques on investment decisions in the European Union

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Authors: Maximilian Kardung, Yasmine Ambrogio, Kutay Cingiz, Nicola Consmüller, Katharina Unkel, Kai Purnhagen, Justus Wesseler
Cited by: 3
References: 79

Abstract

Abstract We examine the economic impact of regulating new genomic techniques on investment decisions in the EU. Using a real options model, we compare five major regulatory options (nine including sub-options) with the status quo and analyse their effects on plant breeders’ investments. Using the current authorization process for genetically modified organisms for NGTs presents a high investment barrier for companies. The findings indicate that all alternative five options offer opportunities to reduce investment hurdles, depending on the design of the authorization process. Our model and its calibration serve as an example for further advancing the application of real options for regulatory policy analysis.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Capital Investment and Risk Analysis Auction Theory and Applications Intellectual Property and Patents

Publication details

Journal / source
European Review of Agricultural Economics
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Volume
53
Issue
3
Pages
1105–1150
Publication date
7 April 2026
Language
EN