Laminopathies: natural history and risk prediction of heart failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with LMNA gene variants are at high risk for dilated cardiomyopathy and heart failure (HF), but no prediction model for severe HF events exists. This study aimed to describe the incidence of severe HF events and develop a prediction model in a large cohort of patients with adult-onset laminopathies. METHODS: From a population of 660 patients enrolled in the French LMNA nationwide registry, 470 adults were included in the derivation cohort. An independent international validation cohort included 245 additional patients. Baseline characteristics at genetic testing were assessed and the cumulative incidence of the primary endpoint HF-major adverse cardiac events (HF-MACE) was calculated, defined as HF hospitalization, HF-related death, mechanical circulatory support, or heart transplantation. Predictors of HF-MACE were studied after excluding patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)