Refining surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B through biomarker-based risk stratification

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) accounting for more than half of the cases. Regular surveillance, including abdominal ultrasonography with alpha-fetoprotein testing every 6 months, enables early tumor detection and curative treatment; however, current guideline recommendations based mainly on age, sex, and race/ethnicity insufficiently capture individual risk variation, particularly among patients with CHB who do not have cirrhosis. In addition, real-world adherence to HCC surveillance is suboptimal-fewer than 40% of eligible patients receive surveillance at the recommended 6-month intervals. To improve both efficiency and impact, surveillance resources should be reallocated to patients whose estimated risk exceeds the cost-effective surveillance threshold. Recent studies support biomarker-based risk stratification as a more precise approach. For example, in untreated CHB, HBeAg-negative patients meeting inactive disease criteria with HBsAg