Feasibility and single parameter scaling of extinctions in large ecological communities

Read full text
Authors: Philippe Jacquod
Cited by: 0
References: 51

Abstract

Multispecies ecosystems modeled by generalized Lotka-Volterra equations exhibit stationary population abundances, where a large number of species often coexist. Understanding the precise conditions under which this is at all feasible and what triggers species extinctions is a key, outstanding problem in theoretical ecology. Using standard methods of random matrix theory, I show that distributions of species abundances are Gaussian at equilibrium, in the weakly interacting regime. One consequence is that feasibility is generically broken before stability, for large enough number of species. I further derive an analytical expression for the probability that N_{e}=0,1,2,..., species go extinct and conjecture that a single-parameter scaling law governs species extinctions. These results are corroborated by numerical simulations in a wide range of system parameters.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation Evolution and Genetic Dynamics Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Publication details

Journal / source
Physical review. E
Volume
113
Issue
6
Pages
L062202–L062202
Publication date
15 May 2026
Language
EN