Interpretation of LHC excesses at 95 GeV and 152 GeV in an extended Georgi-Machacek model

We analyze the excesses at 95 GeV in the light Higgs-boson searches in the diphoton decay channel reported by CMS and ATLAS, which combined are at the level of three standard deviations and are compatible with the excess in the b b ¯ final state observed at Large Electron-Positron Collider, together with an excess in the diphoton channel at around 152 GeV reported based on a sideband analysis. We demonstrate that these excesses can be well described in a minimally extended Georgi-Machacek (meGM) model. This is enabled by four key features of the meGM model: (1) a natural prediction for scalar boson masses of ≲ 200 GeV arising from the condition to describe both the Higgs boson signal at 125 GeV and the excesses at 95 GeV, (2) the prediction for a doubly charged Higgs boson that can potentially enhance the diphoton decay rates, (3) asymmetric W W and Z Z couplings to neutral scalar bosons that are induced by mild custodial symmetry breaking, and (4) the approximate preservation of the electroweak ρ parameter to be 1 at tree level. We show in our numerical analysis that the meGM model naturally improves the fit to the LHC data around 152 GeV when describing the excesses at 95 GeV. At the same time, the model also predicts additional light C P -odd and charged scalar bosons that can be potentially probed in future experiments, which motivates dedicated searches in the upcoming LHC runs. We also present the results of sensitivity studies for the 95 and 125 GeV Higgs-boson couplings at the HL-LHC and future e + e − colliders, which demonstrate very interesting prospects for probing the meGM model at future colliders.