How generative AI behaves in the newsvendor problem: a behavioral experimental study

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Authors: Jingjie Su, Lang Yan, Kay‐Yut Chen
Cited by: 1
References: 22

Abstract

Purpose This study investigates behavioral biases of generative artificial intelligence (AI) models, specifically GPT-4o and Claude-Haiku-4.5, in inventory management using the newsvendor problem. This study compares AI decision-making with human-subject experiments to assess whether large language models (LLMs) replicate human cognitive bias and to identify prompt-design strategies that improve alignment with optimal outcomes. Design/methodology/approach Controlled newsvendor experiments were conducted with generative AI models, mirroring established human-subject laboratory protocols. Prompt framing was systematically varied across three modifications: removing explicit waste and missed-profit information, simplifying instruction format and providing explicit optimization formulas. Results were benchmarked against normative economic predictions and existing human behavioral findings. Findings Generative AI exhibits human-like human biases including risk aversion, loss aversion and demand chasing, but exhibits a stronger demand-chasing tendency than human participants. It responds to hypothetical incentives and displays bounded rationality. Prompt design significantly influences decision quality, producing decisions closer to theoretical benchmarks. Originality/value This study empirically tests generative AI behavioral biases within a structured operations management experiment. It introduces a replicable methodology, extends findings across two architecturally distinct LLMs from different developers, and demonstrates that deliberate prompt design meaningfully reduces AI decision bias. The study also contributes a conceptual distinction between functionally analogous behavioral patterns and intrinsic psychological dispositions in LLMs, offering a more precise interpretive framework for AI decision-making research in operational contexts.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Supply Chain and Inventory Management Product Development and Customization Innovation and Knowledge Management

Publication details

Journal / source
Review of Behavioral Economics
Publisher
Emerald
Pages
1–17
Publication date
8 July 2026
Language
EN