MeaTS: An End-to-End Meta-Enhanced Attention for Time-Series Forecasting With Missing Data

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Authors: Pengcheng Li, Jiang‐Wen Xiao, Yan‐Wu Wang, Chi Yung Chung
Cited by: 1
References: 17

Abstract

Time-series forecasting with missing values remains a critical challenge across diverse domains. While Transformer-based models excel with complete data, they suffer from “attention sink” where attention mechanisms disproportionately focus on missing data points, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop that degrades performance. To address this, we propose meta-enhanced attention (MeaTS), a novel end-to-end Transformer-based framework specifically designed for robust multivariate time-series forecasting with missing values. Our approach introduces two key innovations, first, an MeaTS mechanism that dynamically adjusts attention weights by suppressing focus on missing values while amplifying attention to observed data, effectively mitigating the attention sink problem; second, an extracting latent value module that transforms data with missing values into informative features through frequency-domain representations, enhancing data representation without explicit imputation. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MeaTS achieves a 19.86% improvement in mean absolute error compared to state-of-the-art models, such as SDformer, GinAR+, and BiTGraph.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Forecasting Techniques and Applications Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Publication details

Journal / source
IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Volume
22
Issue
5
Pages
3776–3787
Publication date
3 February 2026