STD2Vformer: A Free-Form Spatiotemporal Forecasting Model

View at publisher
Authors: Liwei Deng, Hao Wang, Junhao Tan, Xinhe Niu, Yuxin He, Shiyao Zhang, Zhihai He
Cited by: 1
References: 24

Abstract

Spatiotemporal forecasting plays a vital role in modeling and managing complex dynamic systems, such as traffic networks, power grids, and industrial diagnostic systems. However, most existing spatiotemporal models focus primarily on improving prediction accuracy within fixed scenarios, while overlooking the challenge of adapting to dynamically changing forecasting demands. As a result, when prediction requirements shift, these models often need to be retrained to remain accurate—leading to resource inefficiency, production delays, and heightened safety risks. To address this issue, we propose a novel spatiotemporal prediction framework that effectively captures dynamic spatiotemporal dependencies and can be directly applied to spatiotemporal prediction tasks with varying prediction lengths and arbitrary starting points, requiring only a single training phase. Specifically, we introduce the spatiotemporal Date2Vec embedding method, which generates past and future timestamp embeddings by explicitly modeling intrinsic spatiotemporal relationships. Furthermore, we design a fusion module to model the direct mapping relationship between past and future timestamp embeddings, thereby enabling rapid adaptation to dynamic prediction demands. Extensive experiments on seven real-world public datasets show that our model exhibits superior adaptability across four distinct domains and higher predictive accuracy—achieving an average 4.55% improvement over the best-performing baseline on the fixed-horizon prediction task and an average 9.10% improvement on the free-form prediction task—while also providing lower computational complexity and faster inference compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Forecasting Techniques and Applications Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques

Publication details

Journal / source
IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Volume
22
Issue
5
Pages
4044–4055
Publication date
2 March 2026