Deriving the Robust Operating Region for Multistage Dispatch of Power Systems: A Decision-Dependent Uncertainties Based Modeling Approach

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Authors: Xin Zeng, Xiaodong Zheng, Haoyong Chen, Xin Yin, Zhengmao Li, Yiping Chen
Cited by: 11

Abstract

The flexibility of energy storage systems (ESS) is essential for mitigating the uncertainties associated with variable renewable energy (VRE) sources in power system operations. While ESS scheduling for high-renewable systems has been widely studied, accurately coordinating energy-limited ESS with intertemporal coupling under uncertainty and non-anticipative operation remains a challenging robust scheduling task in practice. In this context, a multistage robust scheduling model is developed that captures the energy-limited characteristics of ESS while enforcing non-anticipativity. The model schedules upper and lower boundaries of ESS state of energy (SOE) and generator outputs in the day-ahead timeframe and derives a robust operating region (OR) via decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU). These robust ORs enable temporal decoupling so that the multistage problem admits an equivalent, tractable two-stage formulation. A parallel Nested-C&CG algorithm is employed to compute the optimal robust OR (OR2) efficiently. In addition, an enhanced look-ahead intra-day dispatch is introduced that dynamically updates a window-specific robust OR using ultra-short-term VRE forecasts and their uncertainty, while anchoring the window end to the day-ahead OR2to preserve recursive feasibility; this mechanism reduces day-ahead conservatism and maintains robustness across the rolling horizon. Numerical experiments conducted on modified IEEE 6-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems demonstrate the model's advantages in robustness, economic efficiency, and tractability.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Electric Power System Optimization Optimal Power Flow Distribution Integrated Energy Systems Optimization

Publication details

Journal / source
IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Volume
17
Issue
3
Pages
3019–3032
Publication date
11 February 2026