Voting in Ruins: Examining the Effect of a Tornado on Voting Behavior Toward Coalition Government Parties
Abstract
ABSTRACT The electoral effects of natural disasters have gained increasing importance in recent research. This paper analyzes the impact of an unprecedentedly strong tornado on the electoral results of coalition government parties in the 2021 Czech general election. We find a positive effect on support for the main governing party, ANO, which played a leading role in the disaster relief program. However, the smaller incumbent party, ČSSD, which had less involvement in relief policies, did not experience a similar electoral advantage. Our study suggests that the electoral impact of disasters varies among coalition parties.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
Disaster Management and Resilience
Populism
Right-Wing Movements
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Economics and Politics
- Volume
- 38
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 446–459
- Publication date
- 13 January 2026
- Language
- EN